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https://www.coengineers.com/piping-technology-assessment/_p9 | PEX was also found to leach harmful chemicals such as MBTA, TBA, BPA, and other chemicals that are considered toxic. The State of California has banned PEX in all building structures. It is now known that of the three types of PEX (called type A, B, or C), type B is the only formulation that does not have any leaching considerations. As such, this problem is also easily avoidable. The stabilizers in PEX are highly vulnerable to UV radiation – while they say that some exposure is acceptable, we advise that all precautions are taken to shield this material from UV rays. PEX is also known to be destabilized by chlorine in the water chemistry as well as copper ions produced by failure corrosion in upstream copper. As with Polypropylene, these factors are amplified by aggressive and hot water. Risk Mitigation Mitigation is the act of reducing the severity, seriousness, or painfulness of something. It is our hope that the following section can mitigate your reaction to what has been presented so far. So far, this discussion has been all about identification of the risk exposure, estimating the probability that such risks may manifest in this project. Then we consider the consequences if the risk does actually occur. This next section we will discuss ways in which we can reduce the severity of the vulnerabilities for each material |
https://www.coengineers.com/piping-technology-assessment/_p10 | Mitigating Epoxy Liner The epoxy application process will remove material from the existing pipe during preparation, as such, it is essential to know how much material remains since the integrity of the system will still depend on the integrity of the pipe itself. Regarding epoxy liner, the American Society of Testing and Materials publishes F2831-12; Standard Practice for Internal Non Structural Epoxy Barrier Coating Material Used In Rehabilitation of Metallic Pressurized Piping Systems. This document compiles all of the governing documents for epoxy applications as well as specifies acceptable testing standards for adhesion and substrate preparation. Independent Engineering oversight should be applied to the installation of this product to witness compliance with ASTM F2831-12 Any respectable epoxy applicator will have an in-depth quality manual that specifies each step in the process with decision trees, flow charts, and check lists. Moral hazard does exist because it is very easy to hide poor workmanship and profit may be directly correlated to skipping steps. A random sample of epoxy shots must be tested for adhesion per ASTM F2831. In addition, a section of pipe should be removed and split open for deep inspection by a third party. This should be done while the applicator is on site to re-coat the repair. Finally, we call attention to the epoxy paradox: in the event that an application failure – or future failure – is found, then what? The biggest problem with Epoxy is that there is no contingency plan for any failure of any installation, expansion or repair of the system, or even the replacement of valves in the future. Once the continuity of the epoxy is compromised, corrosion will re-occur. The epoxy cannot be removed and a re-pipe is therefore inevitable…so why not just re-pipe to begin with? |
https://www.coengineers.com/piping-technology-assessment/_p11 | Mitigating New Copper Pipe As mentioned, the possibility that a copper piping system could endure for a very long time should be attractive to any homeowner, Condominium Association or property manager. The problems are well known and well studied so our first steps in mitigating the vulnerabilities are clear-cut. All plumbers should have a refresher course or master plumber testing in the standard practices of soldering connections and the application of solder flux, specifically per ASTM B828 and ASTM B813 document. Review of these documents is essential even if the plumber may resist simply because the consequences of any failures in workmanship can be catastrophic. The material specified for the job must be verified to conform to material specification ASTM B 88. This standard will eliminate the likelihood that cheap ‘high- zinc’ alloy would placed in the structure. Many failures in new developments have resulted in contractors cutting corners with less expensive materials. Most utilities will introduce chlorine into the water supply and an essential anti-microbial and disinfectant for community safety. By the time that the water reaches a structure, the chlorine level has dropped significantly. It is essential then to periodically test the chlorine level at the mains. If it is too high, there may be ways to consume additional chlorine prior to entering the potable water system. Natural organic compounds (such as calcium carbonate or magnesium) that appear naturally in above ground public water sources are essential to create the initial protective patina on the copper surface. Deep-water wells may lack these essential components. PH balance most be close to neutral, neither too acidic nor too alkaline (PH). |
https://www.coengineers.com/piping-technology-assessment/_p12 | Finally, engineering design must use correct sizing and proper routing to avoid high velocity flow rates and to eliminate the stagnation of water in the system; each of these conditions can result in breakdown of the protective coating that naturally forms on copper. Nearly all vulnerabilities are known for a copper installation and careful foresight in using expert corrosion / MEP opinion can vastly reduce the already rare occurrence of early copper pipe failures. Mitigating Polypropylene Polypropylene is an attractive alternative to consider, especially in situations where pricing is most favorable. Most of the material mitigation strategies would be similar to PEX, watch the water quality for that known witches brew of aggressive, ionized, and hot water. The supplier issue is not trivial. Nobody can see 50 years into the future what repairs or changes may be required for the structure and if Aquatherm will even exist, especially is another technology should arrive and bump Aquatherm out of the market. After all, 50 years ago, most TVs were black and white and commercial airplanes used propellers. Using polypropylene in the largest tubing where fewer connections would be required and where future replacement may be least expensive may mitigate this problem. Aquatherm does have excellent properties for larger pipes; ability to withstand cold temperatures, collision resistance, upstream of copper, and visibility. Riser use may be equally safe since established connections are unlikely to change over time and access doors provide visibility, as long as upstream pipe is not copper. |
https://www.coengineers.com/piping-technology-assessment/_p13 | Mitigating PEX PEX is a very important technological advance in plumbing technology. One good thing about class action lawsuits is that they tend to flush out problems on an industry wide basis as a wealth of research, case studies, and innovation hits the market. While unknown problems may exist, a fairly long usage history combined with accelerated laboratory use cases minimizes this likelihood. As always, it is prudent to take care in avoiding known problems. Type B PEX is not known to be vulnerable to the leaching concerns as type A and C. As such, only this product should be specified for this project based on current information. ASTM F2023 provides a basis for determining the impact of the existing water chemistry a specific project on the likelihood of oxidation failure. All fittings must be sourced from a reputable supplier and labeled with a LZ (low zinc) production code. From factory to fixture, all UV radiation exposure must be monitored and minimized, if not eliminated. Finally, an access panel should be installed near the main resident manifold so that a periodic visual inspection can be performed to identify possible degradation well into the future. PEX may be listed as a separate line item on the reserve study and hot water lines may be replaced on a more frequent schedule than other parts of the system. |
https://www.coengineers.com/piping-technology-assessment/_p14 | Risk Matrix This risk matrix compares the 4 different technologies against the three important questions and the ability to mitigate known problems. For epoxy; it is impossible to perform a 100% visual inspection of surface preparation and adhesion. A destructive test must be performed and there is no way to re-work a poor application except by re-piping. The likelihood of a failure is high based on research conducted by our team and a moral hazard exists for the applicators to shortcut the process. The consequences of a failure can be catastrophic if existing material is reduced to a point where structural capacity of a pipe is compromised. Should a riser fail under any physical duress from collision to lightning strike, or earthquake, the damage could amount to millions of dollars. Therefore, the three risk management questions do not have formable answers and the ability to mitigate failure is deeply inadequate. Copper offers an acceptable position on the risk matrix chart. We can identify risk exposures; we understand the likelihood that something can go wrong. A total rupture is the least likely failure in copper as such catastrophic failures would be rare. And finally, strategies exist to mitigate most known vulnerabilities. Polypropylene also offers an acceptable position on the risk matrix – the only exception is a non-trivial possibility that Aquatherm leaves the market. This is a condition for which we have absolutely no control over. As such, we are unable to mitigate this risk. |
https://www.coengineers.com/piping-technology-assessment/_p15 | Finally, PEX also offers an acceptable position on the Risk Matrix. We can see the risk exposures; we understand the likelihood that they will occur. Since it would not be used on risers or mainlines, the consequences of failure will be localized and likely contained. We know enough about PEX to mitigate known vulnerabilities *** Risk matrix chart has been updated to reflect additional information about the Aquatherm product which lowers the likelihood of long term maintenance and availability. This analysis is presented in document found here; Aquatherm Research 2.0 About Coengineers Community Engineering Services (Coengineers, PLLC) provides affordable, high-quality engineering services that meet our diverse client needs, budget and schedule. We specialize in working with Communities, Real Estate Management firms, Owners and commercial management firms. Contact info You can always contact us via email or phone. Serving the Pacific Northwest, Seattle Metro +1 (425) 361-8499 Dan@coengineers.com Company support Our support available to help you 24 hours a day, seven days a week. Monday-Friday: 9am to 5pm Saturday: 10am to 2pm Copyright Coengineers, PLLC 2019 01 Plumbing Estimates; 3904 MLKJR 09052013 Commercial Roof RFI Air Handler Failure Aquatherm, Product Assessment Aviation Blockchain Technology And The Engineering Profession Blockchain Technology for Professional Engineers: NSPE FinTech Task Force Publishes Whitepaper Blog Storage of Value In Infrastructure Blog Grid Bradley Layton, PHD Breakwater, Edmonds |
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https://www.dailyherald.com/article/20161209/business/161208864/_p0 | Why row houses new real estate trend in downtown Naperville Menu Search Subscribe Log in News Sports Opinion Obituaries Business Entertainment Lifestyle Classifieds Calendar Follow Us Print Comments 0 Email Facebook Twitter 200 Business Why row houses new real estate trend in downtown Naperville Charleston Row is inspired by a design from London that builder Larry Van Someren saw at a convention in Chicago. The string of six row houses along Aurora Avenue at Webster Street in downtown Naperville is expected to be complete by spring or summer 2018. Courtesy of Charleston Building & Development Erik Van Someren of Charleston Building & Development points out amenities at Charleston Row, a six-unit row house development the company is planning for Aurora Avenue at Webster Street in downtown Naperville. Marie Wilson | Staff Photographer The back of a downtown Naperville row house development called Charleston Row will include second-story and fourth-story rooftop terraces for each of the six units, which are priced between $1.1 million and $1.3 million. Courtesy of Charleston Building & Development Marie Wilson Follow @mariewilson9 Updated 12/9/2016 9:06 AM Listen to builders planning new developments in Naperville and it sounds like the four-bedroom house has gone out of style. What's in vogue now, at least in upscale living, might just be the row house, say developers of a six-unit project called Charleston Row. |
https://www.dailyherald.com/article/20161209/business/161208864/_p1 | These $1.1 million to $1.3 million row houses will have two or three bedrooms, two- or three-car garages, 3½ or 4½ bathrooms, a basement, a large mudroom, not one but two rooftop terraces and even their own private elevator. "We're treating each one as a custom single-family home," said Erik Van Someren of Charleston Building & Development in Naperville, which plans to break ground on the row houses in the spring. After years of building new homes on the sites of teardowns in Wheaton, Glen Ellyn and Naperville, Charleston leaders said they started hearing a new trend. They noticed a desire for something other than the 5,000-square-foot luxury house, standing on its own with a good-sized yard in a subdivision on the outskirts of suburbia. What these buyers want instead, Van Someren said, is what Charleston Row offers: convenience to a downtown with dining, night life and shops, a low-maintenance lifestyle without a massive lawn to mow, and luxury features such as custom staircases and tile work, hardwood floors, a butler's station, a breakfast nook and countertops made of granite, marble or quartz. The fancy stuff. by signing up you agree to our terms of service Van Someren and his father and business partner, Larry Van Someren, said they thought empty nesters looking to downsize from large suburban estates would be their main buyers for Charleston Row. |
https://www.dailyherald.com/article/20161209/business/161208864/_p2 | Along Aurora Avenue at Webster Street, the row houses are steps from Naper Settlement, the Naperville municipal center and the new Water Street District with its hotel, shops and restaurants. At 4,110 square feet to 4,350 square feet, they're not quite as large as the typical luxury stand-alone house, which the Van Somerens said could help people ready for less space and an active lifestyle. But the builders are hearing early interest from young families, too, especially those ready to move out of Chicago but not excited about mowing the lawn all weekend. While there is at least one string of row houses near downtown Naperville -- just west of the DuPage Children's Museum -- property owner Ruth Yackley of BBM Incorporated said Charleston Row will differ because each unit is wider. "Most people want to have larger main rooms," Van Someren said. "More width makes it feel like a home." Charleston Building & Development expects to begin construction this spring so residents can begin moving in by spring or summer 2018. 0 Comments Article Categories Business News Naperville Residential Real Estate Naperville Newsletter Get articles sent to your inbox. Click here to sign up for the Naperville Newsletter Article Comments () Guidelines: Keep it civil and on topic; no profanity, vulgarity, slurs or personal attacks. People who harass others or joke about tragedies will be blocked. If a comment violates these standards or our terms of service, click the X in the upper right corner of the comment box. To find our more, read our FAQ. |
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https://www.denverchristian.org/community/events/_p0 | DC Events - Denver Christian Private School HomeAboutAdmissionsAcademicsStudentsCommunityALUMNISUPPORT DC REQUEST INFOMapMyDC303.733.2421 Menu REQUEST INFOMap303.733.2421 Home About ABOUT US Faith Statement Our Campus Our History Faculty & Staff Careers Board of Trustees Admissions ADMISSIONS OVERVIEW Why Choose DC? Visit Apply Tuition and Financial Aid International Students Admissions FAQ Academics ACADEMICS OVERVIEW Preschool Elementary School Middle School High School Extend Learning Services Students STUDENT LIFE Faith Formation Athletics Fine Arts Clubs & Activities ADDITIONAL SERVICES Online Transcripts Request Community COMMUNITY LIFE DC Blog DC Events Parent Association Booster Club DC Thunder Store Church Community ALUMNI ALUMNI ASSOCIATION Alumni Form SUPPORT DC SUPPORT DC Daily Ways to Support DC Capital Campaign Stock Gift Foundation Scholarships REQUEST INFO Map MyDC 303.733.2421 HomeAbout ABOUT USFaith StatementOur CampusOur History Faculty & StaffCareersBoard of Trustees Since 1916, Denver Christian School has been committed to educating the children of Christian families throughout the metro Denver area. DC offers preschool, elementary, middle and high school in one state-of-the-art 20 acre campus in Lakewood, CO. Admissions ADMISSIONS OVERVIEWWhy Choose DC?VisitApply Tuition and Financial AidInternational StudentsAdmissions FAQ Denver Christian School is now enrolling for the 2018-2019 school year. Come take a tour, experience a shadow day, and apply to DC. Open Houses begin this October for students in preschool through high school. Transfers are welcome! Academics ACADEMICS OVERVIEWPreschoolElementary SchoolMiddle School High SchoolExtend Learning Services |
https://www.denverchristian.org/community/events/_p1 | DC offers a college preparatory Christian education to children in preschool through high school. Academic excellence at DC is supported by robust curriculum and nurturing and inspiring faculty in an environment that embraces the strengths of each student. Students STUDENT LIFEFaith FormationAthleticsFine Arts Clubs & ActivitiesADDITIONAL SERVICESOnline Transcripts Request At DC, we educate the whole child: mind, body, and spirit. Student life at Denver Christian School includes academics, athletics, fine arts, technology, clubs, service to others, and so much more. At DC, students receive a well-rounded Christian education. Community COMMUNITY LIFEDC BlogDC EventsParent Association Booster ClubDC Thunder StoreChurch Community The DC Community is truly something special! All our welcome at DC performances, sporting events, for coffee in the atrium, at chapel, fundraisers, and more. ALUMNI ALUMNI ASSOCIATIONAlumni Form 100 years of history includes our outstanding graduates! Our Alumni stay connected and involved through their class reunions, DC events, newsletters and more! SUPPORT DC SUPPORT DCDaily Ways to Support DCCapital CampaignStock Gift Foundation Scholarships God continues to bless our school but there's still much work to do. Your help is an invaluable part of our success in meeting the needs of our 21st century students. REQUEST INFOMapMyDC303.733.2421 Menu REQUEST INFOMap303.733.2421 Home About ABOUT US Faith Statement Our Campus Our History Faculty & Staff Careers Board of Trustees Admissions ADMISSIONS OVERVIEW Why Choose DC? |
https://www.denverchristian.org/community/events/_p2 | Visit Apply Tuition and Financial Aid International Students Admissions FAQ Academics ACADEMICS OVERVIEW Preschool Elementary School Middle School High School Extend Learning Services Students STUDENT LIFE Faith Formation Athletics Fine Arts Clubs & Activities ADDITIONAL SERVICES Online Transcripts Request Community COMMUNITY LIFE DC Blog DC Events Parent Association Booster Club DC Thunder Store Church Community ALUMNI ALUMNI ASSOCIATION Alumni Form SUPPORT DC SUPPORT DC Daily Ways to Support DC Capital Campaign Stock Gift Foundation Scholarships REQUEST INFO Map MyDC 303.733.2421 COMMUNITY LIFE DC Blog DC Events Parent Association Booster Club DC Thunder Store Church Community community UPCOMING DC COMMUNITY EVENTS Mr. Thunder – Nov 22 November 22, 2019 Mr. Thunder November 22nd : Mr. Thunder 7:00-9:00 in Main Gym Senior students compete for the elite title of Mr. Thunder in a high energy, hilarious, family-friendly event. GET TICKETS NOW! More Information Grandparents & Special Friends Day – Nov 26 November 26, 2019 November 26th : Grandparents’ Day 8:00-12:00. Special Chapel at 10:00 in Main Gym Grandparents, relatives and grand-friends are invited to join our students for the morning. Coffee and light refreshments will be served in our atrium. Guests are encouraged to visit their grandchild’s classroom, tour the school and attend a special chapel where our students will be performing songs, read poetry, and lead us in some songs of worship. |
https://www.denverchristian.org/community/events/_p3 | More Information High School Drama – Dec 5,6 & 7 December 6, 2019 - December 7, 2019 High School Drama - The Holiday Channel Christmas Movie Wonderthon GET TICKETS NOW!! More Information Spring Auction February 22, 2020 On Christ the Solid Rock We Stand 2020 Denver Christian Auction Denver Christian School’s Auction is a fundraising and community event that celebrates and supports the Denver Christian loyalty fund. Proceeds from this community event will be used to fund many programs and operational expenses of Denver Christian School, such as financial aid, scholarships, technology enrichment, and professional development for our teachers. Saturday, February 22, 2020 Denver Christian Main Gym Casual Dress Dinner and Drinks 5:00 pm Registration, Silent Auction & Dinner, 7:45 pm Live Auction We hope you’ll join us for this evening of food, fellowship and fun! Stephanie Davy and Marie Ronan DC Auction Co-Chairs More Information Christian Deeper Learning – Feb 26 – 28 February 26, 2020 - February 28, 2020 We are excited to announce that Denver Christian has been chosen as the site of the next Christian Deeper Learning Conference! Sponsored by the Center for the Advancement of Christian Education. More Information UPCOMING DC THUNDER ATHLETIC EVENT See DC Sports Calendar Request Info Connect With Denver Christian School Stay up to date with the latest DC news Contact DC |
https://www.denverchristian.org/community/events/_p4 | Address: 3898 S. Teller St. Lakewood, CO 80235 Phone: 303.733.2421 Fax: 303.733.7734 Map & Directions quick links About Why Choose DC? Visit Apply Academics Athletics Upcoming Events Alumni Support DC ATHLETICS DC Athletics Athletic Calendar Athletic Resources Middle School Voted Top School By Parents! About Founded in 1916, Denver Christian School is a private, Christian school offering academic excellence in preschool, kindergarten, elementary school, middle school and high school. Denver Christian School is a private, faith based school serving the communities of the Front Range, Arvada, Aurora, Castle Rock, Centennial, Cherry Hills, Denver, Englewood, Evergreen, Golden, Greenwood Village, Highlands Ranch, Lakewood, Littleton, and Parker. © Copyright Denver Christian School 2019 Request Information Name* Grade Interested In* Email* Phone CAPTCHA Phone This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged. This iframe contains the logic required to handle Ajax powered Gravity Forms. × Preschool Schedule & Payment Plan Half Day runs from 8:30 AM to 12:30 PM. Full Day PreK runs from 8:30 AM to 3:00 PM. 3-year olds, 2 mornings T/F: $2,420 ($242/month on 10 payment plan) 3-year olds, 2 mornings M/W: $2,420 ($242/month on 10 payment plan) 4-year olds, 3 mornings T/Th/F: $3,315 ($331.50/month on 10 payment plan) 4-year olds, 3 full days T/Th/F: $5,735 ($573.50/month on 10 payment plan) 4-year olds, 5 full days M-F: $9,970 ($997.00/month on 10 payment plan) Education Fee*: $100 (Education fee for class activities and field trips) |
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https://www.dormakaba.com/za-en/about-us/news-media/dormakaba-md-to-race-cape-epic-with-nico-pfitzenmaier-908660_p3 | Team dormakaba cyclists qualify for World Champs Our Performance Director, Dr Mike Posthumus, provides tips for adding gym training to your on bike training. Team dormakaba signs SA champ Beat the Winter training blues Team dormakaba launches online store Talented Team dormakaba targets second consecutive African Ladies’ Jersey at Epic Excitement builds for team dormakaba at Tankwa Trek Team dormakaba, Food for Sport enter partnership The man behind the lens for team dormakaba – Craig Kolesky Team dormakaba’s McDougall and Sanders win at 3 Towers Team dormakaba appoints performance director Team dormakaba ready for Bezhoek Extreme MTB Festival Team dormakaba welcomes Amy McDougall Candice Lill departs Team dormakaba Team dormakaba clinches inaugural Cape Epic African women’s jersey Team dormakaba’s Vera Adrian off to Europe New partner brings new Epic opportunities for Candice Lill Candice Lill ready for Epic following Tankwa title Team dormakaba Corporate News Trade Shows Innovation Careers Investor Relations Back Full-year results 2016/2017 Back Letter to the shareholders Financial commentary Key figures of the Group Media Releases Sustainability Report Annual General Meeting dormakaba Merger Contact Back Contact Us Email Support Back Door Hardware Support Entrance Systems Support Electronic Access & Data Support Lodging Systems Support Safe Locks Support Interior Glass Systems Support Service Support Our Locations Back Our Locations South Africa Team dormakaba Store Choose location Search... Managing the opening |
https://www.dormakaba.com/za-en/about-us/news-media/dormakaba-md-to-race-cape-epic-with-nico-pfitzenmaier-908660_p4 | Home About us News & Events dormakaba MD to race Cape Epic with Nico Pfitzenmaier Team dormakaba cyclist Nico Pfitzenmaier will be racing the upcoming Cape Epic mountain bike stage race taking place in the Western Cape from March 17 to 24 with dormakaba South Africa MD Shaun Frayne. A notoriously tough event, Pfitzenmaier is looking forward to taking on the challenge with Frayne “Shaun has given me so much support in the past with the team and he has done a lot for the sport in the country. I want to go out and help him achieve his goal of having his best Cape Epic experience as he has had some bad luck in the past,” says Pfitzenmaier. Pfitzenmaier has a proud history with the race, having done it seven times. He has also won the Masters and Mixed categories to go along with his 26 stage victories. With this year’s event having the most climbing per kilometre in the history of the event, it will be a true endurance test for those competing. “The Epic is quite different to other team events as the route profile is so much harder. Often, the first three days at this race are so difficult that those not fit enough will drop out. Also, the depth of competitive riders is much deeper into the top 100 than in other big stage races like the JoBerg2c or the Wines2Whales.” |
https://www.dormakaba.com/za-en/about-us/news-media/dormakaba-md-to-race-cape-epic-with-nico-pfitzenmaier-908660_p5 | But for Pfitzenmaier this year’s race is not about the other competitors, but rather him and Shaun enjoying themselves. “Our aim is to have fun and enjoy the trails together. With the Epic, your mind is generally your biggest opposition and competitor. So, controlling your mind and thoughts can become your biggest challenge when the going gets tough.” Even with the Cape Epic presenting such a significant challenge, Pfitzenmaier is looking forward to the National Mountain Bike XCO Series as well as competing mixed at JoBerg2C and doing one or two races overseas later this year. “And then defending the Vets title at Wines2Whales at the end of the year is another one I’m especially excited about. But the focus for now is on the Epic and enjoying it with Shaun.” Contact dormakaba South Africa Pty Ltd T : +27 11 510 1500 info.za@dormakaba.com 24/7 Service Hotline T: +27 86 113 6762 About us dormakaba Group dormakaba South Africa Brand Sustainability News & Events Press Releases Team dormakaba Corporate News Trade Shows Innovation Careers Investor Relations dormakaba Merger Disclaimer Imprint Privacy Policy Sitemap © dormakaba Group, 2019, all rights reserved |
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https://www.economist.com/special-report/2000/09/23/untangling-e-conomics_p1 | the economist Topicsdown icon Sections Latest updates Leaders Briefing United States The Americas Asia China Middle East and Africa Europe Britain International Business Finance and economics Science and technology Books and arts Graphic detail Obituary Special reports Debates Open Future Blogs Bagehot’s notebook Bartleby Charlemagne’s notebook Democracy in America Erasmus Free exchange Game theory Gulliver Prospero The Economist explains Current edition Moredown icon Apps & Digital Editions The Economist apps Espresso Global Business Review World in Figures Other Publications 1843 magazine The World In The World If From The Economist Group Events Online GMAT prep Online GRE prep Executive Education Navigator Which MBA Jobs Board Learning.ly The Economist Store The Economist Intelligence Unit The Economist Corporate Network Media Audio edition Economist Films Podcasts About The Economist Subscribe user iconLog in or sign upManage subscriptiondown icon Log In Forgot password? New to The Economist? Sign up now Activate your digital subscription Manage your subscription Renew your subscription magnifier iconSearch hamburger iconclose icon Topicsup icon Latest updates Leaders Briefing United States The Americas Asia China Middle East and Africa Europe Britain International Business Finance and economics Science and technology Books and arts Graphic detail Obituary Special reports Debates Open Future Blogsup icon Bagehot’s notebook Bartleby Charlemagne’s notebook Democracy in America Erasmus Free exchange Game theory Gulliver Prospero The Economist explains Current edition Audio edition |
https://www.economist.com/special-report/2000/09/23/untangling-e-conomics_p2 | Economist Films Podcasts The Economist apps Moreup icon Apps & Digital Editions The Economist apps Espresso Global Business Review World in Figures Other Publications 1843 magazine The World In The World If From The Economist Group Events Online GMAT prep Online GRE prep Executive Education Navigator Which MBA Jobs Board Learning.ly The Economist Store The Economist Intelligence Unit The Economist Corporate Network About The Economist Subscribe Special report: Untangling e-conomics A survey of the new economyUntangling e-conomics Will the economic benefits of information technology match those of earlier technological revolutions? Quite probably, says Pam Woodall, our economics editor; but the laws of economics will still apply print-edition iconPrint edition | Special report Sep 23rd 2000 | twitter icon facebook icon linkedin icon mail icon print icon “EVERYTHING that can be invented has been invented.” With these sweeping words, the Commissioner of the United States Office of Patents recommended in 1899 that his office be abolished, so spectacular had been the wave of innovation in the late 19th century. History is littered with such foolish predictions about technology. The lesson is that any analysis of the economic consequences of the current burst of innovation in information technology (IT—computers, software, telecoms and the Internet) should proceed with care. At one end, the Internet's boosters have boldly proclaimed it as the greatest invention since the wheel, transforming the world so radically that the old economics textbooks need ripping up. At the other extreme, sceptics say that computers and the Internet are not remotely as important as steam power, the telegraph or electricity. In their view, IT stands for “insignificant toys”, and when the technology bubble bursts, its economic benefit will turn out to be no greater than that of the 17th-century tulip bubble. |
https://www.economist.com/special-report/2000/09/23/untangling-e-conomics_p3 | Get our daily newsletter Upgrade your inbox and get our Daily Dispatch and Editor's Picks. The first programmable electronic computer, with a memory of 20 words, was built in 1946, but the IT revolution did not really start until the spread of mainframe computers in the late 1960s and the invention of the microprocessor in 1971. The pace of technological advance since then has been popularly summed up by Moore's Law. Gordon Moore, the co-founder of Intel, forecast in 1965 that the processing power of a silicon chip would double every 18 months. And so it has, resulting in an enormous increase in computer processing capacity and a sharp decline in costs (see chart 1). Scientists reckon that Moore's Law still has at least another decade to run. By 2010 a typical computer is likely to have 10m times the processing power of a computer in 1975, at a lower real cost. Over the past 40 years global computing power has increased a billionfold. Number-crunching tasks that once took a week can now be done in seconds. Today a Ford Taurus car contains more computing power than the multimillion-dollar mainframe computers used in the Apollo space programme. Cheaper processing power allows computers to be used for more and more purposes. In 1985, it cost Ford $60,000 each time it crashed a car into a wall to find out what would happen in an accident. Now a collision can be simulated by computer for around $100. BP Amoco uses 3D seismic-exploration technology to prospect for oil, cutting the cost of finding oil from nearly $10 a barrel in 1991 to only $1 today. |
https://www.economist.com/special-report/2000/09/23/untangling-e-conomics_p4 | The capacity and speed of communications networks has also increased massively. In 1970 it would have cost $187 to transmit “Encyclopaedia Britannica” as an electronic data file coast to coast in America, because transmission speeds were slow and long-distance calls expensive. Today the entire content of the Library of Congress could be sent across America for just $40. As bandwidth expands, costs will fall further. Within ten years, international phone calls could, in effect, be free, with telecoms firms charging a monthly fee for unlimited calls. As communications costs plunge, more and more computers are being linked together. The benefit of being online increases exponentially with the number of connections. According to Metcalfe's Law, attributed to Robert Metcalfe, a pioneer of computer networking, the value of a network grows roughly in line with the square of the number of users. The Internet got going properly only with the invention of the World Wide Web in 1990 and the browser in 1993, but the number of users worldwide has already climbed to more than 350m, and may reach 1 billion within four years. Between the extremes IT is revolutionising the way we communicate, work, shop and play. But is it really changing the economy? The ultra-optimists argue that IT helps economies to grow much faster, and that it has also eliminated both inflation and the business cycle. As a result, the old rules of economics and traditional ways of valuing shares no longer apply. Cybersceptics retort that sending e-mail, downloading photos of friends or booking holidays online may be fun, yet the Internet does not begin to compare with innovations such as the printing press, the steam engine or electricity. Some even say that America's current prosperity is little more than a bubble. |
https://www.economist.com/special-report/2000/09/23/untangling-e-conomics_p5 | Whom to believe? The trouble is that IT commentators go over the top at both extremes. Either they deny that anything has changed, or they insist that everything has changed. This survey will argue that both are wrong, and that the truth—as so often—lies somewhere in the middle. The economic benefits of the IT revolution could well be big, perhaps as big as those from electricity. But the gains will be nowhere near enough to justify current share prices on Wall Street. America is experiencing a speculative bubble—as it has done during most technological revolutions in the past two centuries. The Internet is far from unique in human history. It has much in common with the telegraph, invented in the 1830s, as Tom Standage, a journalist on this newspaper, explains in his book “The Victorian Internet”. The telegraph, too, brought a big fall in communications costs and increased the flow of information through the economy. But it hardly turned conventional economic wisdom on its head. Extra brain-power The value of IT and the Internet lies in their capacity to store, analyse and communicate information instantly, anywhere, at negligible cost. As Brad DeLong, an economist at the University of California at Berkeley, puts it: “IT and the Internet amplify brain power in the same way that the technologies of the industrial revolution amplified muscle power.” But is IT really in the same league as previous technological revolutions? There are several tests. |
https://www.economist.com/special-report/2000/09/23/untangling-e-conomics_p6 | First, how radically does it change day-to-day life? Arguably, the railways, the telegraph and electricity brought about much more dramatic changes than the Internet. For instance, electric light extended the working day, and railways allowed goods and people to be moved much more quickly and easily across the country. Yet the inventions that have the biggest scientific or social impact do not necessarily yield the biggest economic gains. The printing press, seen by some as the most important invention of the past millennium, had little measurable effect on growth in output per head. In scientific terms, the Internet may not be as significant as the printing press, the telegraph or electricity, but it may yet turn out to have a bigger economic impact. One reason is that the cost of communications has plummeted far more steeply than that of any previous technology, allowing it to be used more widely and deeply throughout the economy. An invention that remains expensive, as the electric telegraph did, is bound to have a lesser effect. A second test of a new technology is how far it allows businesses to reorganise their production processes, and so become more efficient. The steam age moved production from the household to the factory; the railways allowed the development of mass markets; and with electricity, the assembly line became possible. Now computers and the Internet are offering the means for a sweeping reorganisation of business, from online procurement of inputs to more decentralisation and outsourcing. |
https://www.economist.com/special-report/2000/09/23/untangling-e-conomics_p7 | The ultimate test, however, is the impact of a new technology on productivity across the economy as a whole, either by allowing existing products to be made more efficiently or by creating entirely new products. Faster productivity growth is the key to higher living standards. After years when people puzzled over the apparent failure of computers to boost productivity, there are signs at last that productivity growth in America is accelerating. The question is whether that faster growth is sustainable. Undeniably, though, America's economy has had a fabulous decade in which it achieved both faster growth and lower inflation, and some part of that is due to IT. And whatever the impact of IT so far, there is more to come. Paul Saffo, who heads the Institute for the Future, in California, believes that the IT revolution has only just begun, both in terms of innovation and the adoption of new technologies. Corporate America's R&D has increased by an annual average of 11% over the past five years, which suggests that innovation will go on. As yet, only 6% of the world's population is online; even in the rich world, the figure is only 35%. Only a third of American manufacturing firms are using the Internet for procurement or sales. All technologies follow an S-shaped path (see chart 2). They are slow to get going, but once they reach critical mass the technology spreads fast. The world may already be half-way up the curve for computers, but for the Internet it is only at the bottom of the steep part, from where it is likely to take off rapidly. Moreover, IT is only one of three technological revolutions currently under way. Together with fuel-cell technology, and genetics and biotechnology, it could create a much more powerful “long wave” than some of its predecessors. |
https://www.economist.com/special-report/2000/09/23/untangling-e-conomics_p8 | Even so, predictions about future growth must be kept in perspective. Those who claim that technology has created a new growth paradigm that will allow America's GDP to keep expanding at well over 4% a year do not realise just how bold their forecasts are. That sort of annual rate implies growth in GDP per head of more than 3%. For that to materialise, computers and the Internet would need to be a far more important engine of growth than steam, railways or electricity. Through most of the 19th century America's GDP per head grew by less than 1.5% a year, and in the 20th century by an average of just under 2%. In truth, many current expectations for American growth are probably unrealistic. On the other hand, global growth may well turn out to be faster than in the past. America has been the first to embrace the IT revolution and the new economy, which is why so much of the evidence in this survey is concentrated in that country. But it is no longer alone. A later section of the survey will argue that if the rewards from IT are significant in America, the gains in Europe, Japan and many emerging economies could be even bigger. If so, this could yet prove to be the biggest technological revolution ever for the world as a whole. |
https://www.economist.com/special-report/2000/09/23/untangling-e-conomics_p9 | So is it true that the “new economy” is making a nonsense of the laws of economics? It is argued that rules for, say, monetary and antitrust policy that worked in the age of steel and cars no longer apply now that computers and networks hold sway. But as Carl Shapiro and Hal Varian neatly put it in their book “Information Rules”: “Technology changes, economic laws do not.” The business cycle has not really been eliminated; if economies grow too fast, inflation will still rise; share prices still depend on profits; and governments still need to remain on their guard against the abuse of monopoly power. Don't burn the textbooks But perhaps the most important economic rule of all is that new technology is not a panacea that cures every economic ill. To reap the full benefits from IT, governments still need to pursue sound policies. America's recent economic success is not due to new technology alone, but also to more stable fiscal and monetary policies, deregulation and free trade. A period of pervasive structural change lies ahead. Economies will enjoy big gains overall, but these will not be evenly spread. Many existing jobs and firms will disappear. In this environment, the risks of policy errors are high. To see how governments can choke the economic benefits of innovation, look back 600 years to China, which at that time was the most technologically advanced country in the world. Centuries before the West, it had invented moveable-type printing, the blast furnace and the water-powered spinning machine. By 1400 it had in place many of the innovations that triggered the industrial revolution in Britain in the 18th century. But then its technological progress went into reverse, because its rulers kept such tight control on the new technology that it could not spread. It is a warning that the fruits of the IT revolution should not be taken for granted. |
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https://www.equestriadaily.com/2013_09_26_archive.html?m=0_p0 | Equestria Daily - MLP Stuff!: 09/26/13 Home Art Drawings Drawings - Humanized/Anthro Drawings - Themed Compilations Speedpaints Cosplay Plushie Custom Craft Wallpaper 3D Ponies Artist Spotlight Open Art News Season 9 Upcoming Episodes Episode Trailers Episode Posts My Little Pony Movie Equestria Girls EQG Shorts Posts Official Comic EQD Editorial Books Interview Cards Merchandise Episode Followup Poll Results Event Nightly Roundup Fics Fic Archive Complete Audio Book Incomplete Normal Sad Adventure Shipping Comedy Crossover Random Sci-Fi Grimdark Pinkie Pie Applejack Twilight Sparkle Rainbow Dash Fluttershy Rarity Spike Luna Celestia Cadance Sweetie Belle Apple Bloom Scootaloo Diamond Tiara The Great and Powerful Trixie Discord Gilda Zecora Cheerilee Derpy Hooves Daring Do Fleur De Lis Nurse Redheart Mayor Mare Spitfire Fancy Pants Hoity Toity Prince Blueblood Shining Armor Doctor Whoof Vinyl Scratch Octavia Bon Bon Lyra Berry Punch Colgate Human Other Media Animation PMV SFM YTPMV Analysis Game Game Index Radio play Official Music Music Archive All Music Music: Instrumental Music: Remix Music: Vocal Music: Background Bonus Music Comics Fan Comics Official Comics Comic Dub Community Discord Server Pony Soapbox Forums Discussion Convention List Polls Meetup Group Map EQD Staff Convention News Tutorials Artist Spotlight Blast From The Past Commenting Rules Editorial General Pony Spotlight Top Lists Episode Rewatch Pony History Toy Review Comic Review Episode Followup Submit General Fanfiction About Us Community Soapbox Entry |
https://www.equestriadaily.com/2013_09_26_archive.html?m=0_p1 | Equestria Daily Settings Hide Spoiler Posts Hide Equestria Girls Posts Hide Anthro Posts Fancy Banner Fixed Navigation Bar Site theme Follow browser/system Celestia (Light) Luna (Dark) NEW G4.5 Series Announced: Pony Life Editorial - Story Opportunies for Scorpan Feats of Friendship #3 - 3 Page Preview Episode Rewatch - Episode 5-6 New Brushables Expand with Trixie Countdown Poll What version of Twilight Sparkle do you like most? Get Daily Updates by Email! Popular Posts Hasbro Presser Reveals New Show "Pony Life" and Images for 2020! We just received a presser from Hasbro containing a bunch of promo pictures for the new series. Called Pony Life, the pics give us a bett... G4.5 Pony Life - Which Version Are We Getting? There has been a boatload of speculation and all out war over the announcement of Pony Life the other day, our new 2020 My Little Pony se... Editorial: Possible Stories for Season 10 Sup brahs? Season 10 is coming in comic form! Whether or not you wanna read them or even consider them canon is completely up to you! ... Comics: G4.5 is Coming / Temple of Bloom #27 / Shadows of... #55 / You're Not... #4 / Gender Studies / Await a Guardian #19 I don't think that is how any of this works Trixie. Not at all. Comics above and below and click for full! |
https://www.equestriadaily.com/2013_09_26_archive.html?m=0_p2 | (Fan made) - My Little Pony Life: Clip To be completely honest, I'd be alright with an animated version of this being out next two years. Find the magic below. Drawfriend Stuff (Pony Art Gallery) #3162 Celestial scrunchings. We don't always have to have something super complex for a header. Get the art below! [1] Source A Mig... Drawfriend Stuff (Pony Art Gallery) #3163 So this drawfriend kinda exploded. Still working on getting numbers and stuff in. For now, have the art! [1] Source by Lakunae on ... Some Possible Writers for Pony Life Revealed? While we've been dissecting the new show, over on Twitter the writer Whitney Ralls who has worked on Equestria Girls, Hanazuki and LP... Pony Life Spike Was Apparently Already Revealed Last Month Apparently the My Little Pony Instagram accidently revealed Pony Life Spike last month, and no one noticed. Either that or this was an e... Nightly Discussion #1979 Source Even after all these years they never managed to let it go, eh? Evening guys! Sorry this one is a little late, just got ho... Simple PMV Compilation #49 by Sethisto You guys just had to PMV that Fox song. As if it wasn't already stuck in my head enough as is. We have five Simple PMV's tonight instead of Music of the Day. Get them below! |
https://www.equestriadaily.com/2013_09_26_archive.html?m=0_p3 | Read more Thursday, September 26, 2013 op 9:00 PM Labels: Media, Not-Fanfiction, PMV, Simple PMV Open in app Share This! Comments Funny Bootleg Blindbags by Sethisto It looks like the bootleg pony creators out there may have gotten their hands on one of the trucks transporting Hasbro's neon plastic. A bunch of fake blindbag style ponies have popped up, as seen in the images. Honestly a few of these are pretty cool. The mixed tail and mane on the Mrs. Cake in that top left image is a pretty neat effect! Thanks to TornadoTwist for the heads up. op 8:00 PM Labels: Merchandise, News, Not-Fanfiction Open in app Share This! Comments You now have hooves, type something in the comments by Sethisto xcklspwpl;p;ol,msdfl[;'pad;p'[sdf sd;l[sd[l;psd;l[psdl;s ajmsadasdlpaslpi; asklasdknasdko asdalajlkkpla adfkposdfkp;sd asdpkoadflkasjaoi adadokasdpo/.ana adjoadjkoadkoad adjkoadjk op 7:29 PM Labels: Not-Fanfiction Open in app Share This! Comments Game: Super Smash Ponies - Pinkie Pie Theme by Sethisto Sufficiently happy? Check! Could you play a stage with this in the background? Easily! Pinkie Pie's theme has been composed up by Carbon Maestro for Super Smash Ponies. Head on down below to check it out! And if you have no clue what this is, check out the Rarity trailer. Read more op 7:00 PM Labels: Game, Media, Music, Music: Instrumental, Not-Fanfiction Open in app Share This! Comments |
https://www.equestriadaily.com/2013_09_26_archive.html?m=0_p4 | Build a Bear Fluttershy Image Appears by Sethisto For those of you collecting the Build-a-bear plushies, the Fluttershy model has popped up in a random brochure. I guess we are going to see an all out war between 4dE and these this holiday. Do you like this brushable design? Or do you prefer the fabric molded for a mane? Thanks to Candygram for the heads up. op 5:38 PM Labels: Merchandise, News, Not-Fanfiction, Plushie Open in app Share This! Comments 9/66 Days of Pony - Bridle Gossip by Sethisto Mid December was the first time we saw a major leak for pony. It was around this time when Winter Wrap Up (the song) randomly ended up on Youtube two weeks before the episode aired. The amount of threads spawned wondering why Twilight Sparkle was singing about not having any magic actually ended up creating a mini fanon of it's own. But this post is about Bridle Gossip, and the brand new character that came with it. Zecora was our first real foray into the foreign nations of Equestria. She brought a much needed cultural boom with her voodoo hut and rhyming speech patterns. I wouldn't say she was an instant fan favorite, but people definitely liked her. Of course, we can't forget about the complete ridiculousness of the mane 6 afflicted with Poison Joke. Twilight's floppy horn was great, and Appletini corralling and Riding Dash spawned endless fanfics, but the second Flutterguy opened her mouth, the entire ponynet's collective jaws dropped. This show really was the greatest thing ever. |
https://www.equestriadaily.com/2013_09_26_archive.html?m=0_p5 | Anyway, head on down below the break for the usual video, and drop your initial reactions in the comments! Read more op 5:00 PM Labels: Countdown, News, Not-Fanfiction Open in app Share This! Comments Spotlight Music: BroniKoni - Keep The Beat Alive / Regrets by Sethisto Russian accents always add something interesting to English sung songs. It can be a bit jarring at first, but it works really well once you listen for a few seconds. They also work really well with rock! Find that in the first slot, and then some Orchestral from TheDashDub to follow it up. Both below the break. 1.) BroniKoni - Keep The Beat Alive 2.) Regrets (By TheDashDub) Read more op 3:00 PM Labels: Media, Music, Music: Instrumental, Music: Remix, Not-Fanfiction Open in app Share This! Comments Ponies Around the World 2013 by Sethisto It's that time once again! Ponies Around The World is a yearly even we run where the only requirement is a camera of some type, a pony toy, and somewhere interesting. Your job is to take your favorite pony toy and find a nearby major location, be that a famous monument, national park, interesting rock formation, or anything else original for your area (or while on a vacation) and take a picture of the pony in front of it. Have some rules: |
https://www.equestriadaily.com/2013_09_26_archive.html?m=0_p6 | No Photoshop images You must visit the location yourself Nothing that breaks the normal adult material/gore policies on EQD Custom/Plushie Trixie gains bonus points that can be claimed for an award in the year 2090 There has to be some form of landmark, be it a lake, famous town restaurant, monument, ect. You can include yourself in the image, but do so with caution! If you want an example of old ones, have some posts: Ponies around the World 2011 Day 1 Ponies around the World 2012 Day 1 The deadline this year will be: October 17th at 11:59 PM PST Continue on below for the usual submission information, but if you know the drill already, you can hit the submitter. Read more op 2:00 PM Labels: Event, News, Not-Fanfiction Open in app Share This! Comments Tay Zonday's My little Pony by Sethisto It's pretty amazing how completely satisfied Pinkie looks in all these images of her in chocolate rain. I didn't even realize until I had to dig for one for this post. Anyway, a bit of minor news for you all in this early afternoon. Youtuber Tay Zonday, known for the old Chocolate Rain song and 93 million views that went with it, has done the MLP theme. Head on down below for it! Thanks to Rioichi with the first and everyone else for the heads up! |
https://www.equestriadaily.com/2013_09_26_archive.html?m=0_p7 | Read more op 12:25 PM Labels: Media, Music, News, Not-Fanfiction, Ponies in the Media Open in app Share This! Comments Drawfriend Stuff #937 by Sethisto Chrysalis is still the only character that was able to spawn an entire 80 image strong art post just a few days after her episode. I really hope we see more of her in the show. It was nice to get some backstory in the comics. Anyway, onward to art! [0] Source - Paladin Read more op 12:00 PM Labels: Art, Drawfriend, Not-Fanfiction Open in app Share This! Comments Comic: Night Mares / Physics with Pinkie Pie / Golf / The Secret Spell of Starswirl by Sethisto Sleepovers, Twilight launching, Starswirl, and some classic Lyra stuff, it's comic time! Click for full! op 11:00 AM Labels: Comic, Not-Fanfiction Open in app Share This! Comments Funko Scratch and Octavia Hit Hot Topic by Sethisto Two more funko ponies are anow available for pre-order on Hot Topic. Vinyl Scratch and Octavia each clock in at 16.50 a pop, with the usual transluscent variants. Get Vinyl here, and Octavia here! And as always with these, the hot cash promos below will save you some money: $15 off $30 - KJYT29GQ (Confirmed working) $45 off $90 - YR12KELA (Untested) $75 off $150 - QZ76DRTJ (Untested) Hot Cash promos also give $1 2-3 day shipping at the moment, so double the savings! |
https://www.equestriadaily.com/2013_09_26_archive.html?m=0_p8 | Happy shopping! Thanks to Quid for the first, and everyone else for the heads up! op 9:41 AM Labels: Merchandise, News, Not-Fanfiction Open in app Share This! Comments PMV: FallOut Equestria (Tales from Far Away) by Sethisto I don't know what I'd call this exactly. I guess PMV or animation fits. Regardless, it's Fallout Equestria so I'm sure a bunch of you will like it. Head on down below the break to check it out! Read more op 9:00 AM Labels: Media, Not-Fanfiction, PMV Open in app Share This! Comments Newer Posts Older Posts Home View mobile version Subscribe to: Posts (Atom) Blog Archive ► 2019 (4171) ► November (260) ► Nov 21 (6) ► Nov 20 (15) ► Nov 19 (13) ► Nov 18 (12) ► Nov 17 (12) ► Nov 16 (11) ► Nov 15 (12) ► Nov 14 (12) ► Nov 13 (12) ► Nov 12 (13) ► Nov 11 (16) ► Nov 10 (14) ► Nov 09 (12) ► Nov 08 (14) ► Nov 07 (11) ► Nov 06 (10) ► Nov 05 (12) ► Nov 04 (12) ► Nov 03 (13) ► Nov 02 (14) ► Nov 01 (14) ► October (420) ► Oct 31 (18) ► Oct 30 (12) ► Oct 29 (11) ► Oct 28 (13) ► Oct 27 (11) ► Oct 26 (13) |
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